★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 92: The Ultimate 2008
Las Vegas, USA
27 Dec 2008
Light Heavyweight
VS
46%
Evans
54%
Griffin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:46
RE
Rashad Evans
"Suga"
19 – 8
6'0"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
FG
Forrest Griffin
19 – 7
Well-Rounded47 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'3"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Griffin

This is a genuine toss-up — Evans at 46% vs Griffin at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Griffin throws more volume but Evans connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Griffin has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Evans
Griffin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+77"
46+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evans
Griffin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
18.2
53.1
Performance Avg
52.0
46
Quality of Victory
42
25
Momentum Score
82
Evans
Griffin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.9
42%
Strike Accuracy
36%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
1
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance4
0Clinch0
25Ground0
Evans
Griffin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Evans
Griffin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
15/26 fights
Evans
Griffin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
82
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Evans
Griffin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
30%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Evans
Griffin
Striking5.6 / 2.3Volume5.8 / 6.9Grappling1.4 / 3.3Wrestling1.0 / 2.3Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure4.9 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Evans
Strike Zones
Griffin
Evans
Attacking
26HEAD0BODY0LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Griffin
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD0BODY0LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Evans targets the head (100% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Griffin targets the body (50% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Evans
RND
Griffin
0/0R00/0

Evans · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.2W2.1L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W7.3L5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L1.9L5.5L5.5L2.7L2005-112008-092012-012016-042018-06
WinLossTrend

Griffin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W1.5L4.5W5.5W4.5W2.8L1.5L4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W2005-042006-082008-072011-022012-07
WinLossTrend

Evans · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10

Griffin · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
W · Dec · R3
Rich FranklinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08

News & Media

Rashad Evans · Forrest Griffin
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