METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi
Berlin, Germany
31 May 2014
Lightweight
VS
15%
Hein
85%
Dober
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Nick HeinwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Drew Dober · UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dober
→
Actual result
Hein wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Dober is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dober has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Hein's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dober has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HeinDober
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hein
Dober
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+70"
42
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Hein
Dober
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.7
59.9
35.0
Performance Avg
53.2
25
Quality of Victory
50
20
Momentum Score
100
Hein
Dober
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
8.5
/ 10
1.5
Style: Pressure
7.3
9.0
Style: Volume
2.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
11 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
11
2
Body
2
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
27Distance14
1Clinch4
0Ground0
Hein
Dober
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hein
Dober
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/19 fights
Chin rating based on
27/44 fights
Hein
Dober
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hein
Dober
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
80%
0
KO / TKO Wins
11
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hein
Dober
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
HeinDober
Strike Zones
Hein
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedDober
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hein targets the head (89% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Dober targets the head (61% of attacks) — Hein absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hein
RND
Dober
0/0R00/0
Hein · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Frank CamachoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicDecision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Sub · R1
Davi RamosSubmission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Tae Hyun BangDecision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
W · Dec · R3
Yusuke KasuyaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
Dober · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaUFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoDecision
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