METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 31: Locked and Loaded
Atlantic City, USA
4 May 2001
Welterweight
VS
42%
Carter
58%
Serra
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:51
★ Official Result
Shonie CarterwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:51
def. Matt Serra · UFC 31: Locked and Loaded
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Serra
→
Actual result
Carter wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Carter at 42% vs Serra at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Serra has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Carter's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Serra has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CarterSerra
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Carter
Serra
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'6"
Reach
68"
54
Age
+52
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Carter
Serra
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.2
18.2
41.0
Performance Avg
53.3
35
Quality of Victory
56
25
Momentum Score
52
Carter
Serra
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
4.5
6.3
Style: Volume
5.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
3
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
2Clinch0
1Ground0
Carter
Serra
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Carter
Serra
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
46
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/82 fights
Chin rating based on
14/18 fights
Carter
Serra
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
52
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Carter
Serra
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
43%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Carter
Serra
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
CarterSerra
Strike Zones
Carter
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSerra
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Carter targets the body (50% of attacks) — Serra absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Serra targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Carter absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Carter
RND
Serra
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Carter · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R2
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L · Dec · R3
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