UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
Las Vegas, USA
5 Sept 2015
Lightweight
VS
44%
Pearson
56%
Felder
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RP
Ross Pearson
"The Real Deal"
20 – 16
5'8"69" reachOrthodox41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
PF
Paul Felder
"The Irish Dragon"
17 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'11"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Felder

This is a genuine toss-up — Pearson at 44% vs Felder at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Pearson throws more volume but Felder connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Pearson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pearson
Felder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+70"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pearson
Felder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
21.7
44.3
Performance Avg
49.0
42
Quality of Victory
42
89
Momentum Score
100
Pearson
Felder
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
13
7
Body
3
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
27Distance17
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Pearson
Felder
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pearson
Felder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/36 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Pearson
Felder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pearson
Felder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
56%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pearson
Felder
Striking4.3 / 5.6Volume5.6 / 4.8Grappling1.4 / 2.0Wrestling1.0 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 1.1Pressure3.8 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Pearson
Strike Zones
Felder
Pearson
Attacking
18HEAD7BODY4LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD3BODY3LEGS19 absorbed
Felder
Attacking
13HEAD3BODY3LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD7BODY4LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pearson targets the head (62% of attacks) — Felder absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Felder targets the head (68% of attacks) — Pearson absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pearson
RND
Felder
0/0R00/0

Pearson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.2W4.5W2.8L4.5W6.0L4.5W3.3L5.2W5.2W5.5L5.2W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L5.5L3.6L4.5W5.5L1.5L2009-062012-062015-072017-062019-03
WinLossTrend

Felder · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.2W6.0L5.5L5.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W6.7W5.5L4.5W5.0W6.4L5.7L2014-102016-012017-072019-092020-11
WinLossTrend

Pearson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Desmond GreenRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11

Felder · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Dec · R5
Dan HookerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 5
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
James VickRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Mike PerryRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07

News & Media

Ross Pearson · Paul Felder
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