METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
6 Aug 2022
Heavyweight
VS
39%
Sakai
61%
Spivac
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:42
★ Official Result
Serghei SpivacwinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:42
def. Augusto Sakai · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Spivac
→
Actual result
Spivac wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Spivac holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Sakai has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Sakai's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Spivac has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SakaiSpivac
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sakai
Spivac
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
+78"
35
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sakai
Spivac
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.5
44.1
44.4
Performance Avg
50.5
37
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
33
Sakai
Spivac
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
6.3
5.9
Style: Volume
3.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
23
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground17
Sakai
Spivac
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sakai
Spivac
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
6
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
16/24 fights
Sakai
Spivac
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
33
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Sakai
Spivac
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sakai
Spivac
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
SakaiSpivac
Strike Zones
Sakai
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedSpivac
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sakai targets the body (100% of attacks) — Spivac absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Spivac targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sakai absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sakai
RND
Spivac
0/0R00/0
Sakai · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
L · KO · R2
Serghei SpivacKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Tai TuivasaKO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R5
Alistair OvereemKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
Spivac · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vitor PetrinoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Ante DelijaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Jailton AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08