UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
Mexico City, Mexico
13 Jun 2015
Featherweight
VS
79%
Benitez
21%
Collard
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Benitez
Benitez is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Benitez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Benitez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Benitez's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Benitez
Collard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+73"
37
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Benitez
Collard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
10.1
46.5
Performance Avg
25.0
46
Quality of Victory
25
39
Momentum Score
33
Benitez
Collard
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.8
1.0
43%
Strike Accuracy
28%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
5
Body
0
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
15Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Benitez
Collard
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Benitez
Collard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/36 fights
Chin rating based on
4/21 fights
Benitez
Collard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Benitez
Collard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Benitez
Collard
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
BenitezCollard
Strike Zones
Benitez
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedCollard
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Benitez targets the legs (40% of attacks) — Collard absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Collard targets the head (83% of attacks) — Benitez absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Benitez
RND
Collard
0/0R00/0
Benitez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Collard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Benitez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
MaheshateRating 5.8Decision
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Collard · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Tiago dos Santos e SilvaRating 5.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Alex WhiteRating 4.5Decision
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L · KO · R3
Max HollowayRating 5.1KO/TKO
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