UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard
Oklahoma City, USA
16 Sept 2009
Welterweight
VS
47%
Pierce
53%
Larson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MP
Mike Pierce
17 – 7
5'8"71" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
BL
Brock Larson
42 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide48 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'11"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Larson

This is a genuine toss-up — Pierce at 47% vs Larson at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Pierce has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Pierce
Larson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
71"
45+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pierce
Larson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
18.8
48.0
Performance Avg
46.6
37
Quality of Victory
44
38
Momentum Score
66
Pierce
Larson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.6
44%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
4
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
2Clinch3
4Ground0
Pierce
Larson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.2
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pierce
Larson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
6/52 fights
Pierce
Larson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
66
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Pierce
Larson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pierce
Larson
Striking4.6 / 1.0Volume5.7 / 3.7Grappling2.2 / 6.1Wrestling1.6 / 4.3Submission1.1 / 6.7Pressure5.0 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Pierce
Strike Zones
Larson
Pierce
Attacking
0HEAD4BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Larson
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD4BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pierce targets the body (67% of attacks) — Larson absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Larson targets the head (60% of attacks) — Pierce absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pierce
RND
Larson
0/0R00/0

Pierce · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.5L4.5W5.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.2W1.5L5.5L2009-092011-022012-062013-102015-12
WinLossTrend

Larson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.5L2.8L2005-102006-122009-042009-052009-092009-11
WinLossTrend

Pierce · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · Sub · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · KO · R2
David MitchellRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Seth BaczynskiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
Aaron SimpsonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10

Larson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Brian FosterRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Mike PierceRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
W · Sub · R1
Mike PyleRating 5
Submission
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
W · Sub · R1
Jesse SandersRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann · 2009-04
W · Dec · R3
Keita NakamuraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12

News & Media

Mike Pierce · Brock Larson
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