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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard
Oklahoma City, USA
16 Sept 2009
Welterweight
VS
47%
Pierce
53%
Larson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MP
Mike Pierce
177
5'8"71" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
BL
Brock Larson
4210
Well-Rounded2-fight slide49 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'11"
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Mike PiercewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Brock Larson · UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Larson
Actual result
Pierce wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Pierce at 47% vs Larson at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PierceLarson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Pierce
Larson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
71"
46+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pierce
Larson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
18.8
48.0
Performance Avg
46.6
37
Quality of Victory
44
38
Momentum Score
66
Pierce
Larson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
6.2
5.7
Style: Volume
3.7
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
4
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
2Clinch3
4Ground0
Pierce
Larson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pierce
Larson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
6/52 fights
Pierce
Larson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
66
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Pierce
Larson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pierce
Larson
Striking4.6 / 1.0Volume5.7 / 3.7Grappling2.2 / 6.1Wrestling1.6 / 4.3Submission1.1 / 6.7Pressure5.0 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Pierce
Strike Zones
Larson
Pierce
Attacking
0HEAD4BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Larson
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD4BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pierce targets the body (67% of attacks) — Larson absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Larson targets the head (60% of attacks) — Pierce absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pierce
RND
Larson
0/0R00/0

Pierce · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlare
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · Sub · R1
Rousimar Palhares
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · KO · R2
David Mitchell
KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Seth Baczynski
Decision
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
Aaron Simpson
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10

Larson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Brian Foster
KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Mike Pierce
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
W · Sub · R1
Mike Pyle
Submission
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
W · Sub · R1
Jesse Sanders
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann · 2009-04
W · Dec · R3
Keita Nakamura
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12

News & Media

Mike Pierce · Brock Larson
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