Jacare Souza vs Robert Whittaker — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis

Kansas City, USA

15 Apr 2017

Middleweight

27%

Souza

73%

Whittaker

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 2 · 3:28

Jacare Souza

26 – 10

6'1"72" reachOrthodox46 yrs4-fight slidePressure Fighter

CFR 20

Robert Whittaker

"The Reaper"

27 – 9

Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"

CFR 54

★ Official Result

Robert WhittakerwinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:28

def. Jacare Souza · UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Whittaker

→

Actual result

Whittaker wins

KO/TKO · R2

Pre-fight analysis

Whittaker is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Souza's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Whittaker has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

SouzaWhittaker

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Souza

Whittaker

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"+

Height

6'0"

72"

Reach

+73"

Age

+35

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Souza

Whittaker

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

19.5

54.0

54.6

Performance Avg

56.6

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Souza

Whittaker

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.6

/ 10

5.3

/ 10

7.9

Style: Pressure

4.9

2.0

Style: Volume

6.3

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

7 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

4Distance23

0Clinch0

0Ground14

Souza

Whittaker

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.8

/ 10

1.5

/ 10

2.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.0

4.4

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Souza

Whittaker

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.5 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.7 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

5 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

16/36 fights

Chin rating based on

25/36 fights

Souza

Whittaker

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

4-fight 📉 slide

Current form

L · Sub · R1

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R5

W · KO · R3

Last 5

W · KO · R3

L · Dec · R5

L · Sub · R1

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

Souza

Whittaker

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

89%

39%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Souza

Whittaker

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.6

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.3

3.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.5

2.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.0

4.4

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

7.9

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.9

2.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.3

Souza

Strike Zones

Whittaker

Souza

Attacking

4 landed

Absorbing

37 absorbed

Whittaker

Attacking

37 landed

Absorbing

4 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Souza targets the head (50% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 50% of strikes there

🎯Whittaker targets the head (86% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Souza

RND

Whittaker

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Souza · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

Andre Muniz

Submission

UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05

L · KO · R1

Kevin Holland

KO/TKO

UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12

L · Dec · R5

Jan Blachowicz

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11

L · Dec · R5

Jack Hermansson

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04

W · KO · R3

Chris Weidman

KO/TKO

UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11

Whittaker · Last 5

W · KO · R3

Nikita Krylov

KO/TKO

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

L · Dec · R5

Reinier de Ridder

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07

L · Sub · R1

Khamzat Chimaev

Submission

UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

W · KO · R1

Ikram Aliskerov

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06

W · Dec · R3

Paulo Costa

Decision

UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

News & Media

Jacare Souza · Robert Whittaker

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