METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Lincoln, USA
25 Aug 2018
Lightweight
VS
77%
Dober
23%
Tuck
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Drew DoberwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jon Tuck · UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dober
→
Actual result
Dober wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Dober is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Dober's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DoberTuck
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dober
Tuck
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+73"
37+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Dober
Tuck
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.9
18.4
53.2
Performance Avg
45.2
50
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
54
Dober
Tuck
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.5
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
6.6
2.8
Style: Volume
2.9
11 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
3
1
Body
3
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
7Distance8
0Clinch1
12Ground0
Dober
Tuck
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dober
Tuck
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
90
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
9/15 fights
Dober
Tuck
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
54
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Dober
Tuck
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
75%
11
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dober
Tuck
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
DoberTuck
Strike Zones
Dober
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTuck
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dober targets the head (95% of attacks) — Tuck absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Tuck targets the head (33% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dober
RND
Tuck
0/0R00/0
Dober · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonKO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaUFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
Tuck · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Drew DoberDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Sub · R1
Takanori GomiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Damien BrownDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Josh EmmettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Sub · R1
Tae Hyun BangSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05