UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Las Vegas, USA
13 Jan 2024
Featherweight
VS
40%
Wilson
60%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:12
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
Silva holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Wilson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Wilson's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Wilson
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
69"
37
Age
+29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Wilson
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.2
66.7
42.4
Performance Avg
61.7
54
Quality of Victory
46
29
Momentum Score
87
Wilson
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.5
32%
Strike Accuracy
57%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
24
0
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance23
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Wilson
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Wilson
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/27 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Wilson
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
29
87
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · R3
Wilson
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wilson
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
WilsonSilva
Strike Zones
Wilson
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedSilva
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wilson targets the head (73% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (96% of attacks) — Wilson absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wilson
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Wilson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Wilson · Last 4
L · KO · R1
YizhaRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
Jeka SaragihRating 5.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Jean SilvaRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R1
Joanderson BritoRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
Silva · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 5.9Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R2
Diego LopesRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Bryce MitchellRating 6.3Submission
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Melsik BaghdasaryanRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · R3
Drew DoberRating 5.7UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

