METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jul 2010
Middleweight
VS
68%
Leben
32%
Akiyama
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:40
★ Official Result
Chris LebenwinsSubmissionR3 · 4:40
def. Yoshihiro Akiyama · UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Leben
→
Actual result
Leben wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Leben holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Akiyama has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Leben has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Striking split: Akiyama throws more volume but Leben connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Leben's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Akiyama has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LebenAkiyama
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Leben
Akiyama
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
+75"
45+
Age
50
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Leben
Akiyama
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
8.3
50.5
Performance Avg
26.4
48
Quality of Victory
25
59
Momentum Score
10
Leben
Akiyama
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
40%
6.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
5
1
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
1Clinch0
5Ground4
Leben
Akiyama
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leben
Akiyama
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/33 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Leben
Akiyama
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
10
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Leben
Akiyama
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leben
Akiyama
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
LebenAkiyama
Strike Zones
Leben
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedAkiyama
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Leben targets the head (67% of attacks) — Akiyama absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Akiyama targets the head (100% of attacks) — Leben absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leben
RND
Akiyama
0/0R00/0
Leben · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Akiyama · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Leben · Last 5
L · R1
Uriah HallRating 4UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Andrew CraigRating 5.5Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R2
Mark MunozRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
W · KO · R1
Wanderlei SilvaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
Akiyama · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alberto MinaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Jake ShieldsRating 5.5Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · KO · R1
Vitor BelfortRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10