UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
Orlando, USA
24 Feb 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
35%
Alvey
65%
Prachnio
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:23
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Prachnio
Prachnio holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Alvey has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Alvey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Prachnio has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Alvey's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Prachnio has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Alvey
Prachnio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"+
Reach
73"
40
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Alvey
Prachnio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.9
42.9
44.3
Performance Avg
34.0
45
Quality of Victory
33
43
Momentum Score
96
Alvey
Prachnio
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
1
Body
4
6
Leg
8
RangeRange
9Distance12
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Alvey
Prachnio
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alvey
Prachnio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/51 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Alvey
Prachnio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
96
8-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Alvey
Prachnio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
25%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alvey
Prachnio
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
AlveyPrachnio
Strike Zones
Alvey
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedPrachnio
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alvey targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Prachnio absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Prachnio targets the legs (53% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alvey
RND
Prachnio
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Alvey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Prachnio · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Alvey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenRating 4.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon JungDecision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
Prachnio · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jimmy CruteRating 3Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 4.8Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Devin ClarkRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 5.1Submission
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
William KnightRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02