UFC 78: Validation
Newark, USA
17 Nov 2007
Welterweight
VS
63%
Parisyan
37%
Chonan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Parisyan
Parisyan holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Chonan has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Chonan throws more volume but Parisyan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Parisyan's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Parisyan
Chonan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
70"
43+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Parisyan
Chonan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
10.3
46.5
Performance Avg
25.0
33
Quality of Victory
25
79
Momentum Score
28
Parisyan
Chonan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
9
1
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance8
2Clinch7
4Ground0
Parisyan
Chonan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Parisyan
Chonan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/35 fights
Chin rating based on
4/35 fights
Parisyan
Chonan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Parisyan
Chonan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Parisyan
Chonan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
ParisyanChonan
Strike Zones
Parisyan
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedChonan
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Parisyan targets the head (87% of attacks) — Chonan absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Chonan targets the head (60% of attacks) — Parisyan absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Parisyan
RND
Chonan
0/0R00/0
Parisyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Chonan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Parisyan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dennis HallmanRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
Upcoming
Dong Hyun KimUFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
L · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
W · Dec · R3
Ryo ChonanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11
W · Dec · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05
Chonan · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
TJ GrantRating 5.5Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · Dec · R3
Brad BlackburnRating 5.5Decision
UFC 92: The Ultimate 2008 · 2008-12
W · Dec · R3
Roan CarneiroRating 4.5Decision
UFC 88: Breakthrough · 2008-09
L · Dec · R3
Karo ParisyanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11