METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
Charlotte, USA
27 Jan 2018
Lightweight
VS
28%
Koch
72%
Green
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
King GreenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Erik Koch · UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Green
→
Actual result
Green wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Green is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Koch's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Green has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KochGreen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Koch
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
37+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Koch
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
50.1
46.3
Performance Avg
47.2
44
Quality of Victory
40
84
Momentum Score
85
Koch
Green
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
5.7
Style: Pressure
5.0
4.2
Style: Volume
5.4
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
28
0
Body
18
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
9Distance22
0Clinch9
0Ground18
Koch
Green
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Koch
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/22 fights
Chin rating based on
32/52 fights
Koch
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
85
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Koch
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
47%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Koch
Green
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
KochGreen
Strike Zones
Koch
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
49 absorbedGreen
Attacking
49 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Koch targets the head (100% of attacks) — Green absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the head (57% of attacks) — Koch absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Koch
RND
Green
0/0R00/0
Koch · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kyle StewartDecision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
King GreenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Shane CampbellSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · KO · R1
Daron CruickshankKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
Green · Last 5
Upcoming
Esteban RibovicsUFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
W · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Sub · R1
Jeremy StephensSubmission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Daniel ZellhuberKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lance Gibson Jr.Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12