METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Las Vegas, USA
6 Mar 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
46%
Santos
54%
Rakic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Aleksandar RakicwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Thiago Santos · UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rakic
→
Actual result
Rakic wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 46% vs Rakic at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rakic has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SantosRakic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Santos
Rakic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
+78"
42
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Rakic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.2
38.3
54.0
Performance Avg
44.3
51
Quality of Victory
35
91
Momentum Score
30
Santos
Rakic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.0
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
3.8
2.9
Style: Volume
6.9
11 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
9
Body
2
8
Leg
3
RangeRange
15Distance7
8Clinch0
0Ground0
Santos
Rakic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Rakic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/33 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Santos
Rakic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Santos
Rakic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
79%
29%
11
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Rakic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
SantosRakic
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedRakic
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the body (39% of attacks) — Rakic absorbs 39% of strikes there
🎯Rakic targets the legs (43% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Rakic
0/0R00/0
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicDecision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
Rakic · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Azamat MurzakanovKO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R3
Jan BlachowiczKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05