METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
Houston, USA
21 Feb 2026
Heavyweight
VS
45%
Spivac
55%
Delija
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Serghei SpivacwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ante Delija · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Delija
→
Actual result
Spivac wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Spivac at 45% vs Delija at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Delija has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Spivac's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SpivacDelija
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Spivac
Delija
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
78"
Reach
78"
31+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Spivac
Delija
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.1
54.9
50.5
Performance Avg
49.3
47
Quality of Victory
60
33
Momentum Score
43
Spivac
Delija
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
8.0
3.8
Style: Volume
0.7
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
14
1
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
27Distance16
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Spivac
Delija
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Spivac
Delija
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/24 fights
Chin rating based on
3/34 fights
Spivac
Delija
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Spivac
Delija
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Spivac
Delija
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
SpivacDelija
Strike Zones
Spivac
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedDelija
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Spivac targets the head (93% of attacks) — Delija absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Delija targets the head (88% of attacks) — Spivac absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Spivac
RND
Delija
0/0R00/0
Spivac · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vitor PetrinoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Ante DelijaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Jailton AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
Delija · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Waldo Cortes AcostaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Marcin TyburaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09