UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
Philadelphia, USA
6 Aug 2011
Middleweight
VS
44%
Rivera
56%
Philippou
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Philippou
This is a genuine toss-up — Rivera at 44% vs Philippou at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Rivera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rivera's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rivera
Philippou
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
73"
54
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rivera
Philippou
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
18.3
48.0
Performance Avg
48.5
44
Quality of Victory
41
30
Momentum Score
62
Rivera
Philippou
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
54%
Strike Accuracy
36%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
6
2
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance5
2Clinch4
3Ground0
Rivera
Philippou
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rivera
Philippou
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/29 fights
Chin rating based on
10/18 fights
Rivera
Philippou
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
62
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Rivera
Philippou
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rivera
Philippou
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
RiveraPhilippou
Strike Zones
Rivera
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedPhilippou
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rivera targets the head (80% of attacks) — Philippou absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Philippou targets the head (67% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rivera
RND
Philippou
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rivera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Philippou · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Rivera · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Eric SchaferRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Constantinos PhilippouRating 5.5Decision
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · KO · R2
Michael BispingRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · KO · R2
Nate QuarryRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · KO · R3
Rob KimmonsRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
Philippou · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gegard MousasiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
W · KO · R1
Lorenz LarkinRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
Luke RockholdRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · Dec · R3
Francis CarmontRating 5.5Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · KO · R3
Tim BoetschRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12