METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
Newark, USA
27 Apr 2013
Heavyweight
VS
47%
Nelson
53%
Kongo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:03
★ Official Result
Roy NelsonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:03
def. Cheick Kongo · UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kongo
→
Actual result
Nelson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nelson at 47% vs Kongo at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Nelson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Kongo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Nelson's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kongo has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NelsonKongo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nelson
Kongo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
73"
Reach
+82"
50+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nelson
Kongo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
20.9
55.6
Performance Avg
51.8
61
Quality of Victory
43
26
Momentum Score
100
Nelson
Kongo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.7
40%
Strike Accuracy
63%
9.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
8 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch2
1Ground0
Nelson
Kongo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
0.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nelson
Kongo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
38
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/36 fights
Chin rating based on
18/37 fights
Nelson
Kongo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
100
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Nelson
Kongo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
55%
8
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nelson
Kongo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
1.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
NelsonKongo
Strike Zones
Nelson
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedKongo
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nelson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kongo absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Kongo targets the body (50% of attacks) — Nelson absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nelson
RND
Kongo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nelson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Kongo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Nelson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · KO · R2
Antonio SilvaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Jared RosholtRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R5
Josh BarnettRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
Kongo · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Roy NelsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
W · Dec · R3
Shawn JordanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Mark HuntRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt MitrioneRating 4.5Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
W · KO · R1
Pat BarryRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06