METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
New York City, USA
12 Nov 2022
Middleweight
VS
46%
Adesanya
54%
Pereira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 5 · 2:01
★ Official Result
Alex PereirawinsKO/TKOR5 · 2:01
def. Israel Adesanya · UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pereira
→
Actual result
Pereira wins
KO/TKO · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Adesanya at 46% vs Pereira at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pereira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Adesanya's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pereira has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AdesanyaPereira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Adesanya
Pereira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
80"+
Reach
79"
37+
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Adesanya
Pereira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.4
73.3
61.2
Performance Avg
73.8
56
Quality of Victory
72
100
Momentum Score
78
Adesanya
Pereira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
9.5
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
7.9
6.3
Style: Volume
3.1
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
18
2
Body
8
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance25
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Adesanya
Pereira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Adesanya
Pereira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
13/16 fights
Adesanya
Pereira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
W · KO · R2
Adesanya
Pereira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
80%
5
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Adesanya
Pereira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.5
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
AdesanyaPereira
Strike Zones
Adesanya
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedPereira
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Adesanya targets the head (44% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Pereira targets the head (64% of attacks) — Adesanya absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Adesanya
RND
Pereira
0/0R00/0
Adesanya · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Joe PyferKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R4
Dricus Du PlessisSubmission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandDecision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · KO · R2
Alex PereiraKO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
Pereira · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneKO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Magomed AnkalaevKO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · KO · R4
Khalil Rountree Jr.KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaKO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06