★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
New York City, USA
12 Nov 2022
Middleweight
VS
45%
Adesanya
55%
Pereira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 5 · 2:01
Israel
Israel Adesanya
"The Last Stylebender"
24 – 6
6'4"80" reachSwitch36 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 63
Alex
Alex Pereira
"Poatan"
13 – 3
Knockout Artist38 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'4"
CFR 77

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pereira

This is a genuine toss-up — Adesanya at 45% vs Pereira at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pereira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Pereira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Adesanya's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Adesanya
Pereira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
80"+
Reach
79"
36+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Adesanya
Pereira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.4
76.5
61.2
Performance Avg
76.4
56
Quality of Victory
72
100
Momentum Score
78
Adesanya
Pereira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
68%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
18
2
Body
8
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance25
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Adesanya
Pereira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Adesanya
Pereira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
13/16 fights
Adesanya
Pereira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
W · KO · R2
Adesanya
Pereira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
80%
5
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Adesanya
Pereira
Striking5.2 / 9.7Volume6.3 / 3.3Grappling1.5 / 0.5Wrestling1.0 / 0.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 8.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.7
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Adesanya
Strike Zones
Pereira
Adesanya
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD8BODY2LEGS28 absorbed
Pereira
Attacking
18HEAD8BODY2LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Adesanya targets the head (44% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Pereira targets the head (64% of attacks) — Adesanya absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Adesanya
RND
Pereira
0/0R00/0

Adesanya · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.3W4.5W5.3W4.5W4.8W6.0W4.5W6.1W6.1L5.3W5.4W5.5W6.1L7.2W6.6L5.3L3.6L4.2L2018-022019-042021-062023-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Pereira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0105.2W5.8W6.1W6.9W3.5L5.1W6.8W6.3W6.8W6.3W7.0L6.5W2021-112022-112023-112024-102025-10
WinLossTrend

Adesanya · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Joe PyferRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R4
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · KO · R2
Alex PereiraRating 7.2
KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04

Pereira · Last 5

Upcoming
Ciryl Gane
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Magomed AnkalaevRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · KO · R4
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

News & Media

Israel Adesanya · Alex Pereira
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