UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II
Chicago, USA
25 Jul 2015
Women's Bantamweight
VS
77%
Tate
23%
Eye
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tate
Tate is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tate has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Eye throws more volume but Tate connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Tate's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Eye has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tate
Eye
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
65"
Reach
+66"
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tate
Eye
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.5
16.0
42.5
Performance Avg
28.6
38
Quality of Victory
26
94
Momentum Score
30
Tate
Eye
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
13
7
Body
1
2
Leg
12
RangeRange
11Distance22
0Clinch4
4Ground0
Tate
Eye
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.7
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tate
Eye
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/30 fights
Chin rating based on
16/26 fights
Tate
Eye
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
30
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Tate
Eye
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tate
Eye
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
TateEye
Strike Zones
Tate
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedEye
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tate targets the body (47% of attacks) — Eye absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Eye targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tate absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tate
RND
Eye
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tate · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Eye · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Tate · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R3
Julia AvilaRating 6.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · KO · R3
Marion ReneauRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
Eye · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 5.7Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R5
Cynthia CalvilloRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
