UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jan 2016
Welterweight
VS
50%
Larkin
50%
Tumenov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
LL
Lorenz Larkin
"The Monsoon"
18 – 6
5'11"72" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight win streakStriker
CFR 21
AT
Albert Tumenov
"Einstein"
18 – 4
Striker2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Larkin

This is a genuine toss-up — Larkin at 50% vs Tumenov at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Larkin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Larkin
Tumenov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
+73"
39
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Larkin
Tumenov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.5
20.6
47.0
Performance Avg
52.6
45
Quality of Victory
46
92
Momentum Score
76
Larkin
Tumenov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
42%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
16
2
Body
5
17
Leg
2
RangeRange
26Distance22
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Larkin
Tumenov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Larkin
Tumenov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
74
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/24 fights
Chin rating based on
8/22 fights
Larkin
Tumenov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
76
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Larkin
Tumenov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
60%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Larkin
Tumenov
Striking7.0 / 7.3Volume4.2 / 4.5Grappling1.0 / 1.0Wrestling0.7 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.7 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Larkin
Strike Zones
Tumenov
Larkin
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY17LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD5BODY2LEGS23 absorbed
Tumenov
Attacking
16HEAD5BODY2LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY17LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Larkin targets the legs (63% of attacks) — Tumenov absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Tumenov targets the head (70% of attacks) — Larkin absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Larkin
RND
Tumenov
0/0R00/0

Larkin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L4.5W5.5L1.5L5.8L5.0W5.8W5.5L4.5W5.6W2013-042014-052015-062016-08
WinLossTrend

Tumenov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W3.8L5.1L2014-022014-102015-102016-052016-10
WinLossTrend

Larkin · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Neil MagnyRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
Albert TumenovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
John HowardRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

Tumenov · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · Sub · R2
Gunnar NelsonRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Lorenz LarkinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Alan JoubanRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Nicholas MusokeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

News & Media

Lorenz Larkin · Albert Tumenov
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