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UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben
Birmingham, United Kingdom
18 Oct 2008
Welterweight
VS
45%
Hardy
55%
Gono
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DH
Dan Hardy
"The Outlaw"
2510
6'0"74" reachOrthodox44 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 15
AG
Akihiro Gono
3521
Submission Hunter2-fight slide51 yrsSwitch68" reach5'7"
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Dan HardywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Akihiro Gono · UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gono
Actual result
Hardy wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Hardy at 45% vs Gono at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Gono has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Risk flags

Hardy's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HardyGono
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Hardy
Gono
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'7"
74"+
Reach
68"
44+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Hardy
Gono
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
18.8
46.0
Performance Avg
43.0
37
Quality of Victory
50
38
Momentum Score
52
Hardy
Gono
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
8.0
6.5
Style: Volume
0.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
11
4
Body
4
7
Leg
7
RangeRange
15Distance20
1Clinch0
0Ground2
Hardy
Gono
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hardy
Gono
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
10/35 fights
Chin rating based on
3/56 fights
Hardy
Gono
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
52
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Hardy
Gono
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hardy
Gono
Striking4.5 / 0.7Volume6.5 / 0.7Grappling1.6 / 8.0Wrestling1.1 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure4.1 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Hardy
Strike Zones
Gono
Hardy
Attacking
5HEAD4BODY7LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD4BODY7LEGS22 absorbed
Gono
Attacking
11HEAD4BODY7LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD4BODY7LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hardy targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Gono absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Gono targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hardy
RND
Gono
0/0R00/0

Hardy · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Amir Sadollah
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · KO · R1
Duane Ludwig
KO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Sub · R3
Chris Lytle
Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Johnson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Carlos Condit
KO/TKO
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10

Gono · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Jon Fitch
Decision
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
L · Dec · R3
Dan Hardy
Decision
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10
W · Sub · R2
Tamdan McCrory
Submission
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11

News & Media

Dan Hardy · Akihiro Gono
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