UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
Las Vegas, USA
15 Aug 2020
Lightweight
VS
52%
Miller
48%
Pichel
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jim
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39 – 19
5'8"71" reachSouthpaw42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
Vinc
Vinc Pichel
"From Hell"
14 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 40

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Miller

This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 52% vs Pichel at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Pichel has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pichel has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Miller
Pichel
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+72"
42+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Pichel
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
39.5
51.5
Performance Avg
41.3
45
Quality of Victory
30
28
Momentum Score
40
Miller
Pichel
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.5
41%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.6
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
11
1
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch7
1Ground7
Miller
Pichel
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Pichel
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
12/19 fights
Miller
Pichel
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
40
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Miller
Pichel
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
14%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
14
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miller
Pichel
Striking3.4 / 2.6Volume3.5 / 8.0Grappling4.7 / 2.1Wrestling3.3 / 1.4Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 2.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
Miller
Strike Zones
Pichel
Miller
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD6BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Pichel
Attacking
11HEAD6BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the body (100% of attacks) — Pichel absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Pichel targets the head (65% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Miller
RND
Pichel
0/0R00/0

Miller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.4W5.5W5.5L5.0W2.1L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.1L6.5L4.5W3.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W6.8L5.5L5.5L2.4L5.0W2.9L5.0W5.5W5.5L5.2W5.7L6.2L5.2W5.9W5.2W6.4L5.0W5.7W6.2L5.3W6.3L5.4W2008-102012-052017-022021-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Pichel · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0101.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.1W2.8L4.7W4.9W4.5W5.7L5.9L6.3L2012-122017-062019-062022-042025-03
WinLossTrend

Miller · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01

Pichel · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Ismael BonfimRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Mark MadsenRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08

News & Media

Jim Miller · Vinc Pichel
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