METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jul 2023
Welterweight
VS
38%
Griffin
62%
Morales
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Michael MoraleswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Max Griffin · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Morales
→
Actual result
Morales wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Morales holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Griffin has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Morales has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GriffinMorales
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Griffin
Morales
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
76"
Reach
+79"
40
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Morales
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
76.5
39.0
Performance Avg
70.0
37
Quality of Victory
50
74
Momentum Score
100
Griffin
Morales
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
9.1
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
8.0
5.8
Style: Volume
4.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
20
0
Body
1
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
10Distance26
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Griffin
Morales
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Griffin
Morales
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/33 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Griffin
Morales
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Griffin
Morales
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
71%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Griffin
Morales
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
GriffinMorales
Strike Zones
Griffin
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedMorales
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the head (100% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Morales targets the head (77% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Griffin
RND
Morales
0/0R00/0
Griffin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Victor ValenzuelaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Michael ChiesaSubmission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael MoralesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
Morales · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Sean BradyKO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Neil MagnyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07