UFC 88: Breakthrough
Atlanta, USA
6 Sept 2008
Light Heavyweight
VS
91%
Boetsch
9%
Patt
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:03
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Boetsch
Boetsch is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Boetsch has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Boetsch's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Patt has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Boetsch
Patt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
45
Age
—
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Boetsch
Patt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
1.6
46.0
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
69
Momentum Score
0
Boetsch
Patt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
57%
Strike Accuracy
36%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
3
3
Body
1
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
8Distance7
1Clinch2
6Ground0
Boetsch
Patt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Boetsch
Patt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
56
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/34 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Boetsch
Patt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Boetsch
Patt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Boetsch
Patt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BoetschPatt
Strike Zones
Boetsch
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedPatt
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Boetsch targets the head (73% of attacks) — Patt absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Patt targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Boetsch
RND
Patt
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Boetsch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Patt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.1WinLossTrend
Boetsch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11
Patt · Last 2
L · KO · R2
Brandon VeraRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03
L · KO · R1
Tim BoetschRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 88: Breakthrough · 2008-09