UFC Fight Night 3
Las Vegas, USA
16 Jan 2006
Middleweight
VS
55%
Leben
45%
Rivera
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Leben
This is a genuine toss-up — Leben at 55% vs Rivera at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Rivera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Leben's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rivera has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Leben
Rivera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
73"
45+
Age
54
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Leben
Rivera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
14.4
50.5
Performance Avg
48.0
48
Quality of Victory
44
59
Momentum Score
30
Leben
Rivera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
54%
6.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
7 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
3
4
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
5Clinch3
5Ground0
Leben
Rivera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leben
Rivera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/33 fights
Chin rating based on
15/29 fights
Leben
Rivera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
30
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
Leben
Rivera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
63%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leben
Rivera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
LebenRivera
Strike Zones
Leben
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedRivera
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Leben targets the head (60% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Rivera targets the head (60% of attacks) — Leben absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leben
RND
Rivera
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Leben · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Rivera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Leben · Last 5
L · R1
Uriah HallRating 4UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Andrew CraigRating 5.5Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R2
Mark MunozRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
W · KO · R1
Wanderlei SilvaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
Rivera · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Eric SchaferRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Constantinos PhilippouRating 5.5Decision
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · KO · R2
Michael BispingRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · KO · R2
Nate QuarryRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · KO · R3
Rob KimmonsRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10