METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
Dallas, USA
30 Jul 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Ankalaev
47%
Smith
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:09
★ Official Result
Magomed AnkalaevwinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:09
def. Anthony Smith · UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ankalaev
→
Actual result
Ankalaev wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ankalaev at 53% vs Smith at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Ankalaev's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Smith has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AnkalaevSmith
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ankalaev
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+76"
34+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ankalaev
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.7
58.3
60.6
Performance Avg
50.7
43
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
100
Ankalaev
Smith
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.1
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
6.9
5.4
Style: Volume
2.3
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
3
3
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance5
1Clinch0
21Ground0
Ankalaev
Smith
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.9
0
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ankalaev
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
6
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/23 fights
Chin rating based on
25/60 fights
Ankalaev
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Ankalaev
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
77%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
5
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ankalaev
Smith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
AnkalaevSmith
Strike Zones
Ankalaev
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedSmith
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ankalaev targets the head (85% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the head (60% of attacks) — Ankalaev absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ankalaev
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0
Ankalaev · Last 5
W · KO · R5
Bogdan GuskovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraKO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Alex PereiraDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Johnny WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Zhang MingyangKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoSubmission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R3
Khalil Rountree Jr.KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12