UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson
Hidalgo, USA
17 Sept 2016
Lightweight
VS
30%
Dunham
70%
Glenn
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Glenn
Glenn is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Dunham throws more volume but Glenn connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Dunham's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Glenn has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Dunham
Glenn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
70"
44
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Dunham
Glenn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.2
37.7
40.1
Performance Avg
36.2
30
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
65
Dunham
Glenn
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.9
41%
Strike Accuracy
49%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
81
Head
28
4
Body
7
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
77Distance35
8Clinch3
0Ground0
Dunham
Glenn
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dunham
Glenn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
48
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/27 fights
Chin rating based on
11/31 fights
Dunham
Glenn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
Dunham
Glenn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
18%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dunham
Glenn
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
DunhamGlenn
Strike Zones
Dunham
Attacking
85 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedGlenn
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
85 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dunham targets the head (95% of attacks) — Glenn absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Glenn targets the head (74% of attacks) — Dunham absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dunham
RND
Glenn
0/0R00/0
Dunham · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Glenn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Dunham · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Herbert BurnsRating 1.9Submission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco TrinaldoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R1
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
Upcoming
Beneil DariushDecision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
Glenn · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Song KenanRating 5.9Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
L · KO · R1
Christos GiagosRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
Upcoming
Grant DawsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · KO · R1
Joaquim SilvaRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06