UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Montreal, Canada
25 Apr 2015
Welterweight
VS
46%
Taleb
54%
Clements
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Clements
This is a genuine toss-up — Taleb at 46% vs Clements at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Clements has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Taleb's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Taleb
Clements
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
70"
44+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Taleb
Clements
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
17.7
43.9
Performance Avg
45.5
34
Quality of Victory
43
52
Momentum Score
58
Taleb
Clements
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.5
54%
Strike Accuracy
55%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Taleb
Clements
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Taleb
Clements
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/22 fights
Chin rating based on
5/18 fights
Taleb
Clements
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
58
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Taleb
Clements
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Taleb
Clements
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
TalebClements
Strike Zones
Taleb
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedClements
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Taleb targets the head (78% of attacks) — Clements absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Clements targets the head (50% of attacks) — Taleb absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Taleb
RND
Clements
0/0R00/0
Taleb · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Clements · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Taleb · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
Kyle PrepolecRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
L · KO · R2
Sean StricklandRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Sub · R1
Claudio SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · KO · R1
Danny RobertsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
Clements · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nordine TalebRating 5.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · KO · R1
Vik GrujicRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
L · KO · R2
Stephen ThompsonRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
Upcoming
Matthew RiddleUFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
Keith WisniewskiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04