METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
25 Jul 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
42%
Jacoby
58%
Saidov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:49
★ Official Result
Muhammad SaidovwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:49
def. Dustin Jacoby · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Saidov
→
Actual result
Saidov wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jacoby at 42% vs Saidov at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Jacoby's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JacobySaidov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jacoby
Saidov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
76"+
Reach
73"
38
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jacoby
Saidov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.6
80.7
52.3
Performance Avg
73.0
48
Quality of Victory
55
91
Momentum Score
100
Jacoby
Saidov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.2
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
10.0
3.6
Style: Volume
2.0
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
34
3
Body
4
9
Leg
6
RangeRange
17Distance36
0Clinch4
0Ground4
Jacoby
Saidov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jacoby
Saidov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
1/10 fights
Jacoby
Saidov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
100
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
Jacoby
Saidov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jacoby
Saidov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
10.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
JacobySaidov
Strike Zones
Jacoby
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
44 absorbedSaidov
Attacking
44 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jacoby targets the legs (53% of attacks) — Saidov absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Saidov targets the head (77% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jacoby
RND
Saidov
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Jacoby · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Muhammad SaidovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
Saidov · Last 1
W · KO · R2
Dustin JacobyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07