★ Championship Bout · Women's Flyweight
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
Houston, USA
8 Feb 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
60%
Shevchenko
40%
Cerminara
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:03
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Shevchenko
Shevchenko holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Cerminara has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Shevchenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Striking split: Cerminara throws more volume but Shevchenko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cerminara has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Shevchenko
Cerminara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'9"
66"
Reach
+68"
38
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Shevchenko
Cerminara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.2
41.2
66.5
Performance Avg
40.9
55
Quality of Victory
25
53
Momentum Score
85
Shevchenko
Cerminara
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.8
58%
Strike Accuracy
35%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
0
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
16Ground0
Shevchenko
Cerminara
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shevchenko
Cerminara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
48
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
17/24 fights
Shevchenko
Cerminara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
85
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Shevchenko
Cerminara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shevchenko
Cerminara
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.9
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
ShevchenkoCerminara
Strike Zones
Shevchenko
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedCerminara
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shevchenko targets the head (94% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Cerminara targets the body (67% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shevchenko
RND
Cerminara
0/0R00/0
Shevchenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Cerminara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Shevchenko · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 6.3Decision
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W · Dec · R5
Manon FiorotRating 6.1Decision
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UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Alexa GrassoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
L · Sub · R4
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UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
Cerminara · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Manon FiorotRating 7.1Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2Decision
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