UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
Las Vegas, USA
5 Sept 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
58%
VanZant
42%
Chambers
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:01
PV
Paige VanZant
"12 Gauge"
8 – 5
5'4"65" reachOrthodox32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
AC
Alex Chambers
"Astro Girl"
5 – 5
Submission Hunter3-fight slide47 yrsSouthpaw63" reach5'3"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: VanZant

This is a genuine toss-up — VanZant at 58% vs Chambers at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: VanZant throws more volume but Chambers connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

VanZant's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Chambers has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

VanZant
Chambers
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
65"+
Reach
63"
32+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
VanZant
Chambers
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
15.2
49.2
Performance Avg
35.0
45
Quality of Victory
45
84
Momentum Score
39
VanZant
Chambers
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.0
58%
Strike Accuracy
62%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
1Clinch0
5Ground0
VanZant
Chambers
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
VanZant
Chambers
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
3
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/13 fights
Chin rating based on
5/10 fights
VanZant
Chambers
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
39
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
VanZant
Chambers
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

VanZant
Chambers
Striking5.1 / 0.4Volume2.7 / 0.4Grappling3.7 / 8.0Wrestling2.6 / 5.6Submission4.0 / 10.0Pressure7.3 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
VanZant
Strike Zones
Chambers
VanZant
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Chambers
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯VanZant targets the head (75% of attacks) — Chambers absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Chambers targets the head (67% of attacks) — VanZant absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

VanZant
RND
Chambers
0/0R00/0

VanZant · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.5W4.5W5.5W5.4L5.2W1.5L5.5L5.2W1.6L2014-112015-122018-012020-07
WinLossTrend

Chambers · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0101.5L5.5W4.0L5.5L1.5L2014-122015-052015-092017-112018-09
WinLossTrend

VanZant · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Amanda RibasRating 1.6
Submission
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · Sub · R2
Rachael OstovichRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Jessica-Rose ClarkRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
L · Sub · R1
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
W · KO · R2
Bec RawlingsRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08

Chambers · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Livinha SouzaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Nadia KassemRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Sub · R3
Paige VanZantRating 4
Submission
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · Sub · R3
Kailin CurranRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · Sub · R1
Aisling DalyRating 1.5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12

News & Media

Paige VanZant · Alex Chambers
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