UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen
Boston, USA
17 Aug 2013
Featherweight
VS
42%
Brown
58%
Siler
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:50
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Siler
This is a genuine toss-up — Brown at 42% vs Siler at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Siler has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Siler throws more volume but Brown connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brown
Siler
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
70"
50
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Siler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.2
15.5
28.3
Performance Avg
44.9
25
Quality of Victory
38
45
Momentum Score
36
Brown
Siler
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.2
57%
Strike Accuracy
39%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
5
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Brown
Siler
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brown
Siler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/35 fights
Chin rating based on
9/45 fights
Brown
Siler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
36
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Brown
Siler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Siler
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
BrownSiler
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedSiler
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (67% of attacks) — Siler absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Siler targets the head (83% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Siler
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Siler · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Brown · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Steven SilerRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4Decision
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
W · Dec · R3
Nam PhanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Rani YahyaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01
L · Dec · R3
Diego NunesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
Siler · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Noad LahatRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Rony JasonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
W · KO · R1
Mike BrownRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Kurt HolobaughRating 4.5Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04