Max Holloway vs Charles Oliveira — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira

Saskatoon, Canada

23 Aug 2015

Featherweight

47%

Holloway

53%

Oliveira

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 1:39

Max Holloway

"Blessed"

27 – 9

5'11"69" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 57

Charles Oliveira

"Do Bronxs"

37 – 11

Pressure Fighter2-fight win streak36 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"

CFR 63

★ Official Result

Max HollowaywinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:39

def. Charles Oliveira · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Oliveira

→

Actual result

Holloway wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Holloway at 47% vs Oliveira at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Holloway's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

HollowayOliveira

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Holloway

Oliveira

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'11"+

Height

5'10"

69"

Reach

+74"

34+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Holloway

Oliveira

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

56.9

63.3

57.7

Performance Avg

58.6

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Holloway

Oliveira

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

6.0

/ 10

3.0

/ 10

6.0

Style: Pressure

8.0

4.8

Style: Volume

2.7

11 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

4 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

14Distance4

0Clinch1

0Ground0

Holloway

Oliveira

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.7

/ 10

5.8

/ 10

1.2

Wrestling Style (/10)

4.1

0.8

Submission Style (/10)

6.8

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Holloway

Oliveira

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R3.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.2 stoppage

3 fights ago

Last KO loss

2 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

33/36 fights

Chin rating based on

37/48 fights

Holloway

Oliveira

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

Current form

2-fight 🔥 win streak

W · KO · R1

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

L · KO · R3

W · KO · R5

Last 5

W · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R2

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R3

Holloway

Oliveira

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

54%

84%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holloway

Oliveira

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

6.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.0

1.7

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

5.8

1.2

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

4.1

0.8

Submission

Submission attack frequency

6.8

6.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

8.0

4.8

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.7

Holloway

Strike Zones

Oliveira

Holloway

Attacking

14 landed

Absorbing

5 absorbed

Oliveira

Attacking

5 landed

Absorbing

14 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Holloway targets the body (57% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 57% of strikes there

🎯Oliveira targets the head (60% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holloway

RND

Oliveira

0/0R00/0

Holloway · Last 5

W · KO · R1

Conor McGregor

KO/TKO

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

L · Dec · R5

Charles Oliveira

Decision

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03

W · Dec · R5

Dustin Poirier

Decision

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07

L · KO · R3

Ilia Topuria

KO/TKO

UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

W · KO · R5

Justin Gaethje

KO/TKO

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

Oliveira · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Max Holloway

Decision

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03

W · Sub · R2

Mateusz Gamrot

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10

L · KO · R1

Ilia Topuria

KO/TKO

UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06

W · Dec · R5

Michael Chandler

Decision

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11

L · Dec · R3

Arman Tsarukyan

Decision

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

News & Media

Max Holloway · Charles Oliveira

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