UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
Jaragua do Sul, Brazil
18 May 2013
Lightweight
VS
71%
Anjos
29%
Dunham
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Anjos
Anjos is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Anjos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Dunham throws more volume but Anjos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Anjos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dunham has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Anjos
Dunham
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
70"
41+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Anjos
Dunham
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.8
16.2
47.7
Performance Avg
40.1
41
Quality of Victory
30
49
Momentum Score
100
Anjos
Dunham
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
33
7
Body
4
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
21Distance28
5Clinch9
0Ground0
Anjos
Dunham
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.9
5
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anjos
Dunham
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
36/49 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Anjos
Dunham
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Anjos
Dunham
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
18%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anjos
Dunham
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
AnjosDunham
Strike Zones
Anjos
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedDunham
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anjos targets the head (50% of attacks) — Dunham absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Dunham targets the head (89% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anjos
RND
Dunham
0/0R00/0
Anjos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Dunham · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Anjos · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R5
Rafael FizievRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
Dunham · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Herbert BurnsRating 1.9Submission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco TrinaldoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R1
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
Upcoming
Beneil DariushDecision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09