UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker
Auckland, New Zealand
22 Feb 2020
Women's Strawweight
VS
38%
Kowalkiewicz
62%
Xiaonan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Karolina
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
16 – 10
5'3"64" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 33
Yan
Yan Xiaonan
19 – 5
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'5"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Xiaonan

Xiaonan holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Kowalkiewicz has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Kowalkiewicz throws more volume but Xiaonan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Kowalkiewicz's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Kowalkiewicz
Xiaonan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'5"
64"+
Reach
63"
40
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kowalkiewicz
Xiaonan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.7
54.2
35.6
Performance Avg
45.0
28
Quality of Victory
29
40
Momentum Score
100
Kowalkiewicz
Xiaonan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.6
42%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
8
3
Body
8
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Kowalkiewicz
Xiaonan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.0
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kowalkiewicz
Xiaonan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Kowalkiewicz
Xiaonan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Kowalkiewicz
Xiaonan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
11%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kowalkiewicz
Xiaonan
Striking0.9 / 2.5Volume8.1 / 8.5Grappling3.0 / 2.1Wrestling2.1 / 1.5Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure2.2 / 2.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Kowalkiewicz
Strike Zones
Xiaonan
Kowalkiewicz
Attacking
1HEAD3BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD8BODY2LEGS18 absorbed
Xiaonan
Attacking
8HEAD8BODY2LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD3BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kowalkiewicz targets the body (60% of attacks) — Xiaonan absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Xiaonan targets the head (44% of attacks) — Kowalkiewicz absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kowalkiewicz
RND
Xiaonan
0/0R00/0

Kowalkiewicz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W5.9W5.5L1.5L4.5W4.5W2.3L5.5L6.7L6.5L1.6L5.2W4.5W4.7W4.5W6.4L6.8L4.6L2015-122017-102020-022023-102025-10
WinLossTrend

Xiaonan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.6W4.5W4.5W3.0L6.2L5.7W5.8W7.3L5.2W6.2L2017-112020-022022-102025-04
WinLossTrend

Kowalkiewicz · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Julia PolastriRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Diana BelbitaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05

Xiaonan · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · Dec · R5
Mackenzie DernRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10

News & Media

Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Yan Xiaonan
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