METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker
Auckland, New Zealand
22 Feb 2020
Women's Strawweight
VS
39%
Kowalkiewicz
61%
Xiaonan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Yan XiaonanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Karolina Kowalkiewicz · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Xiaonan
→
Actual result
Xiaonan wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Xiaonan holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Kowalkiewicz has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Kowalkiewicz's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Xiaonan has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KowalkiewiczXiaonan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kowalkiewicz
Xiaonan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'5"
64"+
Reach
63"
40
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kowalkiewicz
Xiaonan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.7
51.3
35.6
Performance Avg
43.0
28
Quality of Victory
29
40
Momentum Score
100
Kowalkiewicz
Xiaonan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.2
Style: Pressure
2.7
8.1
Style: Volume
8.4
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
8
3
Body
8
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Kowalkiewicz
Xiaonan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kowalkiewicz
Xiaonan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Kowalkiewicz
Xiaonan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Kowalkiewicz
Xiaonan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
11%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kowalkiewicz
Xiaonan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.7
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
KowalkiewiczXiaonan
Strike Zones
Kowalkiewicz
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedXiaonan
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kowalkiewicz targets the body (60% of attacks) — Xiaonan absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Xiaonan targets the head (44% of attacks) — Kowalkiewicz absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kowalkiewicz
RND
Xiaonan
0/0R00/0
Kowalkiewicz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Julia PolastriKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoDecision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Diana BelbitaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
Xiaonan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Denise GomesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeKO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05