UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang
Shenzhen, China
31 Aug 2019
Lightweight
VS
47%
Ismagulov
53%
Moises
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DI
Damir Ismagulov
"Qazaq"
24 – 3
5'10"74" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 35
Thiago
Thiago Moises
19 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide31 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 40

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Moises

This is a genuine toss-up — Ismagulov at 47% vs Moises at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Moises has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Striking split: Ismagulov throws more volume but Moises connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Moises has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ismagulov
Moises
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
70"
35
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ismagulov
Moises
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.4
39.7
43.6
Performance Avg
42.7
25
Quality of Victory
38
65
Momentum Score
39
Ismagulov
Moises
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.9
42%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
5
7
Body
2
4
Leg
5
RangeRange
24Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ismagulov
Moises
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ismagulov
Moises
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
14
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/27 fights
Chin rating based on
16/29 fights
Ismagulov
Moises
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Ismagulov
Moises
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ismagulov
Moises
Striking1.4 / 2.3Volume9.4 / 5.0Grappling2.4 / 4.2Wrestling1.7 / 2.9Submission0.0 / 3.8Pressure2.1 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
2.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
9.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Ismagulov
Strike Zones
Moises
Ismagulov
Attacking
13HEAD7BODY4LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY5LEGS12 absorbed
Moises
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY5LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD7BODY4LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ismagulov targets the head (54% of attacks) — Moises absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Moises targets the head (42% of attacks) — Ismagulov absorbs 42% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ismagulov
RND
Moises
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ismagulov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W5.8W4.7W4.5W4.6W7.1L7.0L2018-122019-082022-062023-07
WinLossTrend

Moises · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0106.5L4.5W5.5L5.3W5.2W5.4W5.3L2.8L5.2W6.5W4.5L5.5W6.7L4.6W1.9L6.1L2018-112020-102022-062024-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Ismagulov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Grant DawsonRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Guram KutateladzeRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Rafael AlvesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Thiago MoisesRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang · 2019-08

Moises · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gauge YoungRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Jared GordonRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Trey OgdenRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · KO · R3
Mitch RamirezRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03

News & Media

Damir Ismagulov · Thiago Moises
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