METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega
Fresno, USA
9 Dec 2017
Bantamweight
VS
4%
Tomas
96%
Perez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:54
★ Official Result
Alex PerezwinsSubmissionR2 · 1:54
def. Carls John De Tomas · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Perez
→
Actual result
Perez wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Perez is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 58 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Perez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Perez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Perez has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TomasPerez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tomas
Perez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
71"+
Reach
65"
29+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tomas
Perez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.4
60.7
0.0
Performance Avg
52.7
0
Quality of Victory
50
0
Momentum Score
100
Tomas
Perez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
2.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
49%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
7
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground8
Tomas
Perez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tomas
Perez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
18
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/8 fights
Chin rating based on
15/36 fights
Tomas
Perez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Tomas
Perez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tomas
Perez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
TomasPerez
Strike Zones
Tomas
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedPerez
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Perez targets the head (78% of attacks) — Tomas absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tomas
RND
Perez
0/0R00/0
Tomas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Perez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Tomas · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Alex PerezRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Naoki InoueRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
Perez · Last 5
Upcoming
SumudaerjiUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Charles JohnsonRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Asu AlmabayevRating 5.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro TairaRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Matheus NicolauRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04