UFC 97: Redemption
Montreal, Canada
18 Apr 2009
Middleweight
VS
66%
Herman
34%
Loiseau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Herman
Herman holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Loiseau has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Herman throws more volume but Loiseau connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Herman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Herman
Loiseau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
76"
45+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Herman
Loiseau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
20.1
47.4
Performance Avg
43.7
44
Quality of Victory
43
82
Momentum Score
100
Herman
Loiseau
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
19
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance3
12Clinch1
11Ground0
Herman
Loiseau
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Herman
Loiseau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/43 fights
Chin rating based on
9/34 fights
Herman
Loiseau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · R2
Herman
Loiseau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Herman
Loiseau
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
HermanLoiseau
Strike Zones
Herman
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedLoiseau
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Herman targets the body (83% of attacks) — Loiseau absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Loiseau targets the head (75% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Herman
RND
Loiseau
0/0R00/0
Herman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Loiseau · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Herman · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
Loiseau · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Mario MirandaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 5.7Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike SwickRating 5.5Decision
UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn · 2006-09
L · Dec · R5
Rich FranklinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 58: USA vs Canada · 2006-03
W · R2
Evan TannerRating 4.2UFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10