UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev
Las Vegas, USA
1 Mar 2025
Lightweight
VS
50%
Haqparast
50%
Ribovics
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Nasrat
Nasrat Haqparast
18 – 6
5'10"72" reachSouthpaw30 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 48
Esteban
Esteban Ribovics
"El Gringo"
15 – 3
Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'10"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Haqparast

This is a genuine toss-up — Haqparast at 50% vs Ribovics at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Ribovics throws more volume but Haqparast connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Haqparast's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Haqparast
Ribovics
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"+
Reach
69"
30
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Haqparast
Ribovics
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.0
48.1
45.6
Performance Avg
43.1
32
Quality of Victory
34
72
Momentum Score
63
Haqparast
Ribovics
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.7
3.2
48%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
43
Head
39
7
Body
8
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
52Distance49
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Haqparast
Ribovics
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Haqparast
Ribovics
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
7/18 fights
Haqparast
Ribovics
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
63
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Haqparast
Ribovics
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Haqparast
Ribovics
Striking3.3 / 3.6Volume7.7 / 7.1Grappling1.9 / 1.8Wrestling1.3 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.4 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Haqparast
Strike Zones
Ribovics
Haqparast
Attacking
43HEAD7BODY3LEGS53 landed
Absorbing
39HEAD8BODY2LEGS49 absorbed
Ribovics
Attacking
39HEAD8BODY2LEGS49 landed
Absorbing
43HEAD7BODY3LEGS53 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Haqparast targets the head (81% of attacks) — Ribovics absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Ribovics targets the head (80% of attacks) — Haqparast absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Haqparast
RND
Ribovics
0/0R00/0

Haqparast · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L4.6W4.5W5.9W2.7L4.5W5.3W6.4L6.2L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.9W5.2W3.6L2017-102020-012022-022024-062025-10
WinLossTrend

Ribovics · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0106.0L4.5W6.5W4.9W6.2L5.3W3.8L2023-032024-052025-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Haqparast · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Landon QuinonesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

Ribovics · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.8
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Elves BrenerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

News & Media

Nasrat Haqparast · Esteban Ribovics
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