METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
Sydney, Australia
26 Feb 2011
Lightweight
VS
20%
Jewtuszko
80%
Warburton
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Curt WarburtonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Maciej Jewtuszko · UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Warburton
→
Actual result
Warburton wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Warburton is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Warburton has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Jewtuszko has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JewtuszkoWarburton
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jewtuszko
Warburton
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
Reach
73"
45
Age
—
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jewtuszko
Warburton
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.7
10.6
0.0
Performance Avg
28.3
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
27
Jewtuszko
Warburton
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
0.7
51%
Strike Accuracy
33%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
6
3
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
17Distance8
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Jewtuszko
Warburton
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jewtuszko
Warburton
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/15 fights
Chin rating based on
3/19 fights
Jewtuszko
Warburton
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
27
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Jewtuszko
Warburton
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jewtuszko
Warburton
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
JewtuszkoWarburton
Strike Zones
Jewtuszko
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedWarburton
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jewtuszko targets the head (72% of attacks) — Warburton absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Warburton targets the head (75% of attacks) — Jewtuszko absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jewtuszko
RND
Warburton
0/0R00/0
Warburton · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Jewtuszko · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Curt WarburtonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
Warburton · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Joe LauzonRating 1.5Submission
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
W · Dec · R3
Maciej JewtuszkoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
L · Dec · R3
Spencer FisherRating 5.5Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10