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UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Mexico City, Mexico
24 Feb 2024
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Quinonez
50%
Barcelos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:04
Cristian
Cristian Quinonez
"Problema"
195
5'8"70" reachOrthodox30 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 52
Raoni
Raoni Barcelos
225
Well-Rounded5-fight win streak39 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 52
★ Official Result
Raoni BarceloswinsSubmissionR3 · 2:04
def. Cristian Quinonez · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Quinonez
Actual result
Barcelos wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Quinonez at 50% vs Barcelos at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
QuinonezBarcelos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Quinonez
Barcelos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
67"
30+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Quinonez
Barcelos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.0
51.6
45.5
Performance Avg
49.8
43
Quality of Victory
34
66
Momentum Score
63
Quinonez
Barcelos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
4.8
5.0
Style: Volume
6.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
1
Body
2
4
Leg
5
RangeRange
7Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Quinonez
Barcelos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Quinonez
Barcelos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
4/24 fights
Chin rating based on
16/27 fights
Quinonez
Barcelos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
63
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Quinonez
Barcelos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
36%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Quinonez
Barcelos
Striking6.0 / 3.3Volume5.0 / 6.6Grappling1.2 / 3.0Wrestling0.8 / 2.1Submission0.0 / 1.8Pressure5.0 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Quinonez
Strike Zones
Barcelos
Quinonez
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY4LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY5LEGS11 absorbed
Barcelos
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY5LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY4LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Quinonez targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Barcelos absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Barcelos targets the legs (45% of attacks) — Quinonez absorbs 45% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Quinonez
RND
Barcelos
0/0R00/0

Quinonez · Last 4

W · Dec · R3
Kris Moutinho
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Sub · R3
Raoni Barcelos
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · Sub · R1
Kyung Ho Kang
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Khalid Taha
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09

Barcelos · Last 5

Upcoming
Raul Rosas Jr.
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Montel Jackson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Ricky Simon
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cody Garbrandt
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Payton Talbott
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

News & Media

Cristian Quinonez · Raoni Barcelos
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