UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Mexico City, Mexico
24 Feb 2024
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Quinonez
50%
Barcelos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:04
Cristian
Cristian Quinonez
"Problema"
19 – 5
5'8"70" reachOrthodox30 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 52
Raoni
Raoni Barcelos
22 – 5
Well-Rounded5-fight win streak39 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 52

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Quinonez

This is a genuine toss-up — Quinonez at 50% vs Barcelos at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Barcelos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Quinonez
Barcelos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
67"
30+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Quinonez
Barcelos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.0
51.6
45.5
Performance Avg
49.8
43
Quality of Victory
34
66
Momentum Score
63
Quinonez
Barcelos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
55%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
1
Body
2
4
Leg
5
RangeRange
7Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Quinonez
Barcelos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Quinonez
Barcelos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/24 fights
Chin rating based on
15/27 fights
Quinonez
Barcelos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
63
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Quinonez
Barcelos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
36%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Quinonez
Barcelos
Striking6.0 / 3.3Volume5.0 / 6.6Grappling1.2 / 3.0Wrestling0.8 / 2.1Submission0.0 / 1.8Pressure5.0 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Quinonez
Strike Zones
Barcelos
Quinonez
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY4LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY5LEGS11 absorbed
Barcelos
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY5LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY4LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Quinonez targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Barcelos absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Barcelos targets the legs (45% of attacks) — Quinonez absorbs 45% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Quinonez
RND
Barcelos
0/0R00/0

Quinonez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.0W2.4L4.8L4.5W2022-092023-062024-022026-02
WinLossTrend

Barcelos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5W5.7W5.2W5.9W4.5W5.5L6.4L4.5W2.8L6.2L6.3W6.0W5.6W5.2W5.4W2018-072020-112023-012025-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Quinonez · Last 4

W · Dec · R3
Kris MoutinhoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Sub · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 4.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · Sub · R1
Kyung Ho KangRating 2.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Khalid TahaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09

Barcelos · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cody GarbrandtRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottRating 6
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R3
Cristian QuinonezRating 6.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

News & Media

Cristian Quinonez · Raoni Barcelos
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