METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2015
Lightweight
VS
66%
Makdessi
34%
Medeiros
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Yancy MedeiroswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Makdessi · UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Makdessi
→
Actual result
Medeiros wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Makdessi holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Medeiros has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Medeiros has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Makdessi's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Medeiros has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MakdessiMedeiros
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Makdessi
Medeiros
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+75"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Makdessi
Medeiros
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.9
15.6
42.2
Performance Avg
45.4
34
Quality of Victory
47
51
Momentum Score
39
Makdessi
Medeiros
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
7.1
6.9
Style: Volume
2.2
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
24
23
Body
4
9
Leg
2
RangeRange
49Distance29
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Makdessi
Medeiros
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makdessi
Medeiros
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
14
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Makdessi
Medeiros
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Makdessi
Medeiros
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
83%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makdessi
Medeiros
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
MakdessiMedeiros
Strike Zones
Makdessi
Attacking
49 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedMedeiros
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
49 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makdessi targets the body (47% of attacks) — Medeiros absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Medeiros targets the head (80% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makdessi
RND
Medeiros
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Makdessi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Medeiros · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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Donald CerroneKO/TKO
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