METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2015
Lightweight
VS
56%
Makdessi
44%
Medeiros
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Yancy MedeiroswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Makdessi · UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Makdessi
→
Actual result
Medeiros wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Makdessi at 56% vs Medeiros at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Medeiros has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Makdessi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Makdessi's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Medeiros has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MakdessiMedeiros
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Makdessi
Medeiros
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+75"
41
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Makdessi
Medeiros
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.9
24.4
42.2
Performance Avg
45.4
34
Quality of Victory
47
51
Momentum Score
39
Makdessi
Medeiros
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
2.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
37%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
24
23
Body
4
9
Leg
2
RangeRange
49Distance29
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Makdessi
Medeiros
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.4
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Makdessi
Medeiros
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
14
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Makdessi
Medeiros
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Makdessi
Medeiros
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
83%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makdessi
Medeiros
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
MakdessiMedeiros
Strike Zones
Makdessi
Attacking
49 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedMedeiros
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
49 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makdessi targets the body (47% of attacks) — Medeiros absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Medeiros targets the head (80% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makdessi
RND
Medeiros
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Makdessi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Medeiros · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Makdessi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.7Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Jesus PinedoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
Medeiros · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Lando VannataRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · KO · R2
Gregor GillespieRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
W · KO · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12