METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
19 Mar 2022
Heavyweight
VS
42%
Volkov
58%
Aspinall
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:45
★ Official Result
Tom AspinallwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:45
def. Alexander Volkov · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Aspinall
→
Actual result
Aspinall wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Volkov at 42% vs Aspinall at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Aspinall has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Risk flags
Volkov's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VolkovAspinall
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Volkov
Aspinall
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'7"+
Height
6'5"
80"+
Reach
78"
37
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Volkov
Aspinall
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.2
83.0
54.7
Performance Avg
77.7
42
Quality of Victory
70
88
Momentum Score
100
Volkov
Aspinall
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
9.3
/ 10
5.7
Style: Pressure
9.7
5.5
Style: Volume
1.8
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
16
5
Body
5
2
Leg
8
RangeRange
13Distance16
0Clinch1
0Ground12
Volkov
Aspinall
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkov
Aspinall
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/51 fights
Chin rating based on
10/18 fights
Volkov
Aspinall
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Volkov
Aspinall
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Volkov
Aspinall
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.7
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.8
VolkovAspinall
Strike Zones
Volkov
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedAspinall
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Volkov targets the head (46% of attacks) — Aspinall absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Aspinall targets the head (55% of attacks) — Volkov absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Volkov
RND
Aspinall
0/0R00/0
Volkov · Last 5
Upcoming
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W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
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Jailton AlmeidaDecision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ciryl GaneDecision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
Aspinall · Last 5
Upcoming
Ciryl GaneUFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Curtis BlaydesKO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Marcin TyburaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Curtis BlaydesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07