UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
19 Mar 2022
Heavyweight
VS
42%
Volkov
58%
Aspinall
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Aspinall
This is a genuine toss-up — Volkov at 42% vs Aspinall at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Aspinall has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Aspinall has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Volkov's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Volkov
Aspinall
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'7"+
Height
6'5"
80"+
Reach
78"
37
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Volkov
Aspinall
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.2
83.0
54.7
Performance Avg
77.7
42
Quality of Victory
70
88
Momentum Score
100
Volkov
Aspinall
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
4.7
58%
Strike Accuracy
69%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
16
5
Body
5
2
Leg
8
RangeRange
13Distance16
0Clinch1
0Ground12
Volkov
Aspinall
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkov
Aspinall
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/51 fights
Chin rating based on
10/18 fights
Volkov
Aspinall
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Volkov
Aspinall
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Volkov
Aspinall
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.7
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.8
VolkovAspinall
Strike Zones
Volkov
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedAspinall
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Volkov targets the head (46% of attacks) — Aspinall absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Aspinall targets the head (55% of attacks) — Volkov absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Volkov
RND
Aspinall
0/0R00/0
Volkov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Aspinall · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Volkov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Jailton AlmeidaRating 6.3Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ciryl GaneRating 7.2Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R2
Tai TuivasaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Aspinall · Last 5
Upcoming
Ciryl GaneUFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Curtis BlaydesRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Curtis BlaydesRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07