UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
7 Sept 2019
Heavyweight
VS
69%
Blaydes
31%
Abdurakhimov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Blaydes
Blaydes holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Abdurakhimov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Blaydes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Blaydes's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Abdurakhimov has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Blaydes
Abdurakhimov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
80"+
Reach
76"
35+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blaydes
Abdurakhimov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.9
24.1
53.4
Performance Avg
41.0
42
Quality of Victory
38
81
Momentum Score
15
Blaydes
Abdurakhimov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
56%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
13Ground0
Blaydes
Abdurakhimov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Blaydes
Abdurakhimov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
0
KO risk
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/25 fights
Chin rating based on
11/28 fights
Blaydes
Abdurakhimov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
15
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Blaydes
Abdurakhimov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
40%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blaydes
Abdurakhimov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
BlaydesAbdurakhimov
Strike Zones
Blaydes
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedAbdurakhimov
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blaydes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Abdurakhimov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Abdurakhimov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Blaydes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blaydes
RND
Abdurakhimov
0/0R00/0
Blaydes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Abdurakhimov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Blaydes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Josh HokitRating 7.5Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
Abdurakhimov · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Chris DaukausRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · KO · R2
Marcin TyburaRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
