METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
7 Sept 2019
Heavyweight
VS
75%
Blaydes
25%
Abdurakhimov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:22
★ Official Result
Curtis BlaydeswinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:22
def. Shamil Abdurakhimov · UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Blaydes
→
Actual result
Blaydes wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Blaydes is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Blaydes's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Abdurakhimov has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BlaydesAbdurakhimov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Blaydes
Abdurakhimov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
80"+
Reach
76"
35+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blaydes
Abdurakhimov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.9
17.7
53.4
Performance Avg
41.0
42
Quality of Victory
38
81
Momentum Score
15
Blaydes
Abdurakhimov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.4
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
4.2
4.8
Style: Volume
5.7
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
13Ground0
Blaydes
Abdurakhimov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Blaydes
Abdurakhimov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
0
KO risk
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/25 fights
Chin rating based on
11/28 fights
Blaydes
Abdurakhimov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
15
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Blaydes
Abdurakhimov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
40%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blaydes
Abdurakhimov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
BlaydesAbdurakhimov
Strike Zones
Blaydes
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedAbdurakhimov
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blaydes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Abdurakhimov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Abdurakhimov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Blaydes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blaydes
RND
Abdurakhimov
0/0R00/0
Blaydes · Last 5
Upcoming
Waldo Cortes AcostaNoche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Josh HokitDecision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallKO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
Abdurakhimov · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Chris DaukausKO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesKO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · KO · R2
Marcin TyburaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04