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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jun 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
41%
Knutsson
59%
Polastri
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Josefine
Josefine Knutsson
"Thunder"
81
5'3"60" reachOrthodox30 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Julia
Julia Polastri
"Psycho"
146
Striker28 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'2"
CFR 59
★ Official Result
Josefine KnutssonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Julia Polastri · UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Polastri
Actual result
Knutsson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Knutsson at 41% vs Polastri at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Polastri has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
KnutssonPolastri
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Knutsson
Polastri
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"+
Height
5'2"
60"
Reach
+63"
30
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Knutsson
Polastri
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
58.5
41.7
Performance Avg
47.0
25
Quality of Victory
45
60
Momentum Score
80
Knutsson
Polastri
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
7.7
/ 10
2.0
Style: Pressure
6.2
9.3
Style: Volume
3.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
12
9
Body
9
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
38Distance22
0Clinch1
1Ground2
Knutsson
Polastri
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Knutsson
Polastri
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Strikes absorbed / min
3/9 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Knutsson
Polastri
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
80
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Knutsson
Polastri
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Knutsson
Polastri
Striking1.3 / 7.7Volume9.3 / 3.7Grappling2.4 / 0.8Wrestling1.7 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.0 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Knutsson
Strike Zones
Polastri
Knutsson
Attacking
26HEAD9BODY4LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD9BODY4LEGS25 absorbed
Polastri
Attacking
12HEAD9BODY4LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD9BODY4LEGS39 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Knutsson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Polastri absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Polastri targets the head (48% of attacks) — Knutsson absorbs 48% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Knutsson
RND
Polastri
0/0R00/0

Knutsson · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Piera Rodriguez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Julia Polastri
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Marnic Mann
Decision
Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

Polastri · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Xiong Jingnan
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Talita Alencar
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Loopy Godinez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Cory McKenna
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10

News & Media

Josefine Knutsson · Julia Polastri
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