METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2017
Middleweight
VS
72%
Smith
28%
Sanchez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:52
★ Official Result
Anthony SmithwinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:52
def. Andrew Sanchez · UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Smith
→
Actual result
Smith wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Smith is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Smith's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sanchez has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SmithSanchez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Smith
Sanchez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
76"+
Reach
74"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Sanchez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.3
23.1
50.7
Performance Avg
48.2
50
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
43
Smith
Sanchez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
2.9
2.3
Style: Volume
7.4
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
12
4
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance12
4Clinch3
4Ground0
Smith
Sanchez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
3.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smith
Sanchez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/60 fights
Chin rating based on
10/20 fights
Smith
Sanchez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Smith
Sanchez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
77%
20%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Sanchez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
SmithSanchez
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedSanchez
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (82% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Sanchez targets the head (80% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Sanchez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R1
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W · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoSubmission
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L · KO · R3
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Sanchez · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaKO/TKO
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L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovKO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
Wellington TurmanKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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