UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
25 Oct 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
69%
Teixeira
31%
Davis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Teixeira
Teixeira holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Davis has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Teixeira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Teixeira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Teixeira's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Teixeira
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
76"
Reach
+79"
46
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Teixeira
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
18.8
58.4
Performance Avg
50.2
51
Quality of Victory
34
59
Momentum Score
64
Teixeira
Davis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
52%
Strike Accuracy
34%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
8
0
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground13
Teixeira
Davis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Teixeira
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
13/21 fights
Teixeira
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
64
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Teixeira
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Teixeira
Davis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
TeixeiraDavis
Strike Zones
Teixeira
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedDavis
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Teixeira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the head (57% of attacks) — Teixeira absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Teixeira
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0
Teixeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Davis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Teixeira · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 6.8Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Sub · R5
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.7Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · Sub · R3
Thiago SantosRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · KO · R5
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
Davis · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · Dec · R3
Anthony JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Lyoto MachidaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Vinny MagalhaesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04