UFC 76: Knockout
Anaheim, USA
22 Sept 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
38%
Jardine
62%
Liddell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Liddell
Liddell holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Jardine has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Liddell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Jardine throws more volume but Liddell connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Jardine's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Liddell has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jardine
Liddell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
76"
Reach
76"
50+
Age
56
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jardine
Liddell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
22.1
40.0
Performance Avg
61.2
36
Quality of Victory
56
48
Momentum Score
100
Jardine
Liddell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.7
41%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
6
4
Body
3
13
Leg
0
RangeRange
31Distance8
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Jardine
Liddell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.9
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jardine
Liddell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/28 fights
Chin rating based on
23/29 fights
Jardine
Liddell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Jardine
Liddell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
56%
2
KO / TKO Wins
9
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jardine
Liddell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
JardineLiddell
Strike Zones
Jardine
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedLiddell
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jardine targets the head (45% of attacks) — Liddell absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Liddell targets the head (67% of attacks) — Jardine absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jardine
RND
Liddell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jardine · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Liddell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Jardine · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06
L · KO · R3
Ryan BaderRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
L · KO · R1
Thiago SilvaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10
Liddell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Rich FranklinRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 88: Breakthrough · 2008-09
W · Dec · R3
Wanderlei SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
L · Dec · R3
Keith JardineRating 5.5Decision
UFC 76: Knockout · 2007-09