King Green vs Alan Patrick — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill

Las Vegas, USA

12 Sept 2020

Lightweight

69%

Green

31%

Patrick

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

King Green

35 – 17

5'10"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 50

Alan Patrick

"Nuguette"

15 – 4

Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsSouthpaw74" reach5'11"

CFR 23

★ Official Result

King GreenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Alan Patrick · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Green

→

Actual result

Green wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Green holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Patrick has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Green's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Patrick has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

GreenPatrick

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Green

Patrick

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'10"

Height

+5'11"

71"

Reach

+74"

40+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Green

Patrick

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

50.1

22.8

47.2

Performance Avg

41.4

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Green

Patrick

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.1

/ 10

3.1

/ 10

5.0

Style: Pressure

3.1

5.4

Style: Volume

7.5

5 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

24Distance9

5Clinch0

1Ground0

Green

Patrick

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.7

/ 10

1.9

/ 10

1.9

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.3

1.8

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Green

Patrick

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.2 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.3 stoppage

5 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

32/52 fights

Chin rating based on

10/19 fights

Green

Patrick

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

4-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

W · KO · R1

W · Sub · R1

W · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · KO · R2

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R3

W · Dec · R3

Green

Patrick

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

47%

20%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Green

Patrick

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.1

2.7

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.9

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.3

1.8

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

5.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.1

5.4

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

7.5

Green

Strike Zones

Patrick

Green

Attacking

30 landed

Absorbing

9 absorbed

Patrick

Attacking

9 landed

Absorbing

30 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Green targets the head (73% of attacks) — Patrick absorbs 73% of strikes there

🎯Patrick targets the head (56% of attacks) — Green absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Green

RND

Patrick

0/0R00/0

Green · Last 5

Upcoming

Esteban Ribovics

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10

W · KO · R1

Terrance McKinney

KO/TKO

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

W · Sub · R1

Jeremy Stephens

Submission

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05

W · KO · R2

Daniel Zellhuber

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02

W · Dec · R3

Lance Gibson Jr.

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

Patrick · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Michael Johnson

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05

Upcoming

Mason Jones

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06

L · Dec · R3

King Green

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09

L · KO · R3

Scott Holtzman

KO/TKO

UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10

W · Dec · R3

Damir Hadzovic

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02

News & Media

King Green · Alan Patrick

← Back to fights